Compute in orbit
Size an orbital AI datacenter from first principles: the radiator area to reject the chips' heat by radiation alone (εσA(T⁴ − T_env⁴)), the solar array at 1,361 W/m², the eclipse fraction of the orbit and the battery it needs, and the mass and launch cost.
Added
How to use it
In orbit there is no air or water to carry heat away: the chips' waste heat leaves only as thermal radiation. Four tabs share one set of inputs:
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Radiator — net flux per face εσ(T⁴ − Tenv⁴) minus any absorbed sunlight or Earth-shine, and the panel area for the load, one- or two-sided, plotted against radiator temperature. At 300 K and ε = 0.9 a face sheds 413 W/m², so 1 MW needs ≈2,400 m² radiating from one side.
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Solar array — the array area at 1,361 W/m² for a cell efficiency and packing factor, enlarged to recharge the battery if the orbit has eclipses, and how much more energy the same panel collects than on the ground.
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Mass & launch — compute, radiators, array and batteries in tonnes, and the launch cost in total and per kW.
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Orbit & eclipse — period, the fraction of each orbit in Earth’s shadow for an altitude and beta angle, and the battery needed to ride through it.
Related: physics calculators (Stefan–Boltzmann and thermal radiation), AI datacenter power and cooling (the same load on the ground), solar ROI and thermal design.
Companion to Compute in space: what the physics and the math actually say (Part XXIII) of _AI Acceleration: From Transistors to Trillion-Parameter Models — the case for and the case against.
Limits
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The radiator is an ideal flat plate at one uniform temperature, with no view-factor losses between panels; a real radiator’s fins and fluid loop run cooler than the chips by several kelvin.
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The eclipse model is a circular orbit and a cylindrical shadow (no penumbra); β changes through the year, so the battery must be sized for the worst season.
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Masses per kW, per m² and per Wh are rough first-order values for illustration — set your own. Radiation shielding, propulsion, inter-satellite links and spares are not included.
Sources
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CODATA 2018, Stefan–Boltzmann constant σ = 5.670374419 × 10⁻⁸ W m⁻² K⁻⁴.
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Kopp & Lean, A new, lower value of total solar irradiance (2011): 1,361 W/m².
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Google Research, Towards a future space-based, highly scalable AI infrastructure system design (Project Suncatcher), arXiv:2511.19468 (2025): dawn-dusk sun-synchronous orbit, up to ≈8× the ground output, ≲$200/kg launch by the mid-2030s.
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SpaceX, Falcon 9: list price and 22.8 t to low Earth orbit.
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Eclipse geometry: Wertz & Larson, Space Mission Analysis and Design, ch. 5.
Linking to an example
Links can be written by hand. Add the tab after #: radiator, solar, mass or orbit. All the
tabs share the same settings. Values are plain numbers (7e-4 works; write a + as %2B).
| Parameter | Meaning | Example |
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Chip heat load (= electrical load), MW |
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Radiator emissivity |
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Radiator temperature, K |
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Environment temperature, K (3 = deep space) |
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Radiating faces per panel, 1 or 2 |
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Absorbed environmental flux, W/m² |
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Solar-cell efficiency %, packing factor % |
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Capacity factor of a ground panel, % (for the comparison) |
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Orbit altitude (km) and beta angle (°) |
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Battery round-trip efficiency %, depth of discharge % |
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Compute + structure kg/kW; radiator kg/m²; array W/kg; battery Wh/kg |
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Launch cost, $/kg |
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One of the presets below; parameters given with it override the preset’s |
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Presets:
example= |
Shows |
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1 MW at 300 K, ε 0.9, to deep space: 413 W/m², ≈2,400 m² radiating one side (open) |
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The same radiating from both faces: ≈1,200 m² of panel (open) |
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One 700 W H100 (as on Starcloud-1): ≈1.7 m² of radiator (open) |
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1 MW of chips from 1,361 W/m² sunlight with 30 % cells in a dawn-dusk orbit (open) |
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Continuous sun vs a ground panel at a 17 % capacity factor: ≈8× the energy per panel (open) |
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A 650 km dawn-dusk sun-synchronous orbit (β ≈ 80°): no eclipse (open) |
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The ISS at 408 km, β = 0: ≈36 minutes of shadow every 93-minute orbit (open) |
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Launch mass and cost of a 1 MW platform at ≈$3,000/kg (Falcon 9 list) (open) |
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The same at the ≲$200/kg that Project Suncatcher assumes for the mid-2030s (open) |
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